⚽ GoalValue
ESITEN

Winning results

Our real track record of verified tips.

56%
Win rate · 170/305
+10.7%
ROI
+49.5
Record · units

Latest wins

🔴 Bold✓ Won

Nordic combo: Bodo/Glimt plus goals in Brussels

2.14
total odds
Confidence45%
📈 Value (EV) +2.8%🎯 Stake 0.75%

A double built on two solid reads: Bodo/Glimt at the Aspmyra are ruthless (back-to-back 3-0 home wins) against a Lillestrom side just beaten at home by Viking; and in Brussels the tie is wide open after the 1-1 in Stockholm, with Anderlecht leaking goals (1.55 conceded per game) and a mid-season-sharp Hammarby that already scored in the first leg.

  • Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom✓ 4-0
    Eliteserien
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.26

    Why: Bodo/Glimt are dominant at home (recent 3-0 home wins) and chasing the title; Lillestrom just lost at home to Viking.

  • Anderlecht vs Hammarby✓ 3-1
    UEFA Europa League Qualifying
    What to bet: GG · Goal/NoGoal@ 1.70

    Why: 1-1 in the first leg with both scoring; Anderlecht concede 1.55 goals per game and Hammarby, mid-Swedish-season, score regularly.

€
Return: 21.40 €Profit: +11.40 €
🔴 Bold✓ Won

Goals in Budapest between Ferencvaros and Twente

1.85
total odds
Confidence57%
📈 Value (EV) +5.4%🎯 Stake 1%

A wide-open Europa League second leg: Ferencvaros won 2-1 in Enschede and Twente, slight bookmaker favourites even away, must score to turn the tie around. The first leg produced 3 goals and chances at both ends; statistical models (Forebet, KickOff) give a 61% probability of 3+ goals. With Twente forced to attack and Fradi lethal on the counter at home, Over 2.5 at 1.85 holds value.

  • Ferencvaros vs Twente✓ 2-2
    UEFA Europa League Qualifying
    What to bet: Over 2.5 · Over/Under 2.5@ 1.85

    Why: A 3-goal first leg, Twente obliged to score in Budapest and statistical models at 61% for the Over.

€
Return: 18.50 €Profit: +8.50 €
🟢 Safe✓ Won

European double: Benfica and Braga must win

1.43
total odds
Confidence72%
📈 Value (EV) +3.0%🎯 Stake 2%

Two Portuguese heavyweights at home in qualifying second legs, both fully motivated. Benfica lost 1-2 in St. Gallen and must win at the Luz: unbeaten in their last 7 home games and set to field a full-strength side against a St. Gallen team that has lost 3 in a row. Braga won 1-0 in Pancevo and finish the job at home against a debutant at this European level.

  • Benfica vs St. Gallen✓ 5-0
    UEFA Europa League Qualifying
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.23

    Why: Trailing 1-2 from the first leg, Benfica must win at the Luz: 7 home games unbeaten, a far superior squad, and St. Gallen on a 3-game losing streak.

  • Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo✓ 4-0
    UEFA Conference League Qualifying
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.16

    Why: Braga lead 1-0 from the first leg and play at home against a Serbian side making its debut at this European level: a very wide quality gap.

€
Return: 14.30 €Profit: +4.30 €
🟡 Balanced✓ Won

Palmeiras, the Brasileirao's best travellers

1.83
total odds
Confidence58%
📈 Value (EV) +6.1%🎯 Stake 2%

League leaders Palmeiras are the best away team in the Brasileirao with 18 points from a possible 21 on the road, and they need an immediate response after the home defeat to Atletico Mineiro to stay on top. Vitoria rank 15th on home form, sit just above the relegation zone and have won only once in the league since mid-May (1W-5D-5L). The 1.83 price (bet365) is above our estimated probability.

  • Vitoria vs Palmeiras✓ 0-4
    Brasileirao Serie A
    What to bet: 2 · 1X2@ 1.83

    Why: Palmeiras with 18/21 away points and a point to prove; Vitoria with 1 win since May 14 and the 15th-best home record.

€
Return: 18.30 €Profit: +8.30 €
🟢 Safe✓ Won

Red Star leave Larne no escape

1.14
total odds
Confidence88%
📈 Value (EV) +2.6%🎯 Stake 2%

Red Star Belgrade won the first leg 4-0 in Larne, where the Northern Irish side failed to register a single shot on target. The Serbians have topped 3.5 total goals in five straight matches and scored 12 goals across their last three home wins, including a 5-0 in their league opener. At the Rajko Mitic, against a semi-professional opponent whose tie is effectively over, a home win is by far the most likely outcome.

  • Red Star Belgrade vs Larne✓ 5-0
    UEFA Champions League Qualifying
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.14

    Why: 4-0 in the first leg with Larne failing to manage a shot on target; Red Star have gone over 3.5 goals in five straight games and are in rampant scoring form at home.

€
Return: 11.40 €Profit: +1.40 €
🟡 Balanced✓ Won

Copenhagen to deliver at Parken

1.55
total odds
Confidence65%
📈 Value (EV) +3.9%🎯 Stake 2%

After the wild 3-3 first-leg draw, Copenhagen settle the tie at Parken, where they are historically dominant. Already in league rhythm (won their Superliga opener) and clearly superior in squad depth: models price the Danes to win at around 65-70%.

  • FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr✓ 2-1
    UEFA Conference League Qualifying
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.55

    Why: 3-3 in the first leg, but at Parken Copenhagen step up: attack in form (6 goals in their last 2) and a must-win tie against an opponent playing its European home games away from its own country.

€
Return: 15.50 €Profit: +5.50 €
🔴 Bold✓ Won

Nordic treble: stacked value

3.89
total odds
Confidence28%
📈 Value (EV) +10.1%🎯 Stake 1%

We combine the day's three highest-value selections across three different matches: Copenhagen at Parken, BTTS in Aalesund vs Viking, and Rosenborg at home. Total odds 3.89 against an estimated joint probability of 28%: expected value around +10%, but variance is high, so keep the stake small.

  • FC Copenhagen vs Lyngby✓ 3-2
    Danish Superliga
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.42

    Why: Total historical dominance over Lyngby and the Parken fortress.

  • Aalesund vs Viking✓ 1-1
    Eliteserien
    What to bet: GG · Goal/NoGoal@ 1.53

    Why: BTTS in Aalesund's last 6 and Viking scoring in nearly every game.

  • Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad✓ 4-0
    Eliteserien
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.79

    Why: Three-game winning streak against a side without an away win.

€
Return: 38.90 €Profit: +28.90 €
🟡 Balanced✓ Won

Rosenborg riding the Lerkendal wave

1.79
total odds
Confidence57%
📈 Value (EV) +2.0%🎯 Stake 1.5%

Alexandersson's Rosenborg have turned the corner: three straight wins (2-1 vs Molde, 3-0 vs Kristiansund, 3-0 at Kristiansand) and Lerkendal is a factor again. Fredrikstad sit below them and are still winless on the road this season. Best price 1.79 with a true probability estimated around 57%: a thin but positive edge, suited to a prudent single.

  • Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad✓ 4-0
    Eliteserien
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.79

    Why: Three straight wins and fresh momentum under the new coach, against a Fredrikstad side still winless away in 2026.

€
Return: 17.90 €Profit: +7.90 €
🔴 Bold✓ Won

Hammarby fragile on the road

2.60
total odds
Confidence42%
📈 Value (EV) +9.2%🎯 Stake 1%

Hammarby sit second but are winless in their last 5 away games, while Brommapojkarna have a strong home record (3 wins and 4 draws in their last 10 at Grimsta IP). The 1.43 away price implies 70% while models give 58%: the home double chance around 2.60 offers value.

  • IF Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby✓ 1-1
    Allsvenskan
    What to bet: 1X · Double Chance@ 2.60

    Why: No away wins in the last 5 for Hammarby against a Brommapojkarna side hard to beat at home: the away price is inflated, value on the 1X.

€
Return: 26.00 €Profit: +16.00 €
🟡 Balanced✓ Won

Goals at both ends in Aalesund

1.53
total odds
Confidence69%
📈 Value (EV) +5.6%🎯 Stake 2%

Leaders Viking (11 wins in their last 12) score in virtually every game, but Aalesund also play open football at home: all of Aalesund's last 6 league matches ended with both teams scoring, and two independent models put BTTS between 71% and 80%. Viking conceded again in their recent 2-1 over Lillestrom. We avoid the 1X2 (1.48 on the away win, no value) and take BTTS, which pays better than the true risk.

  • Aalesund vs Viking✓ 1-1
    Eliteserien
    What to bet: GG · Goal/NoGoal@ 1.53

    Why: BTTS in Aalesund's last 6, Viking scoring everywhere but conceding: models at 71-80% versus 65% implied by the odds.

€
Return: 15.30 €Profit: +5.30 €
🟡 Balanced✓ Won

In-form Sarpsborg against fading HamKam

1.77
total odds
Confidence58%
📈 Value (EV) +2.7%🎯 Stake 1.5%

Sarpsborg 08 are unbeaten in 4 league games (3 wins, including 1-0 over leaders Viking and victories against Brann and Molde) and are unbeaten in 6 meetings with HamKam, winning the last 3 league H2Hs. HamKam are winless in 4 and coming off a 0-3 at Bodo/Glimt. Home absences to monitor (Rosted, Carstensen), but at 1.77 the market (56% implied) slightly undervalues the form gap.

  • Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam✓ 1-0
    Eliteserien
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.77

    Why: Excellent form (beat Viking, Brann and Molde), H2H dominance and a struggling opponent: modest but real value on the home win.

€
Return: 17.70 €Profit: +7.70 €
🟢 Safe✓ Won

Copenhagen rule Parken

1.42
total odds
Confidence72%
📈 Value (EV) +2.2%🎯 Stake 1.5%

Season opener in the Superliga but the historical dominance is overwhelming: Copenhagen have won 35 of 47 meetings with Lyngby (24 of the last 30) and come off 3 straight warm-up wins. Lyngby just lost defensive anchor Tobias Storm and have historically struggled badly at Parken. The 1.42 price, inflated by opening-day uncertainty and the absences of Mattsson and Huescas, offers a small value margin.

  • FC Copenhagen vs Lyngby✓ 3-2
    Danish Superliga
    What to bet: 1 · 1X2@ 1.42

    Why: H2H 35-6 for Copenhagen, Parken fortress, Lyngby without defensive leader Storm: home edge and squad gap outweigh opening-day risk.

€
Return: 14.20 €Profit: +4.20 €